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China’s game here is clear: first, increase tensions between the U.S. and Iran by weakening the impact of American sanctions and increase their soft power leverage in the energy-dense Middle East. Two social scientists from Nanjing University recently came up with a proposal to boost birth rates. I am a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council and the Founding Principal of International Market Analysis, a Washington, D.C.-based global risk advisory boutique. Japan's population peaked around 2010 but is set to dip rapidly; Iran's is still on the up. The firm’s interventions span international security, economics, law, politics, terrorism, and crime and corruption. Planners eventually realized that China, still the world's most populous country, was headed toward massive social problems should the birth rate remain low. Still, India's birth rate is not expected to fall below the 2.1 mark until after 2040.
The larger Tehran metropolitan area has a population estimated at 14 million, which makes it the largest city in all of Western Asia and one of the three largest cities in the Middle East after Cairo and Istanbul. During the rule of Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the country ran a US-backed family planning program, which however, ultimately did not have much of an effect on people's reproductive behavior: At the time of the Iranian Revolution in 1979, women had an average of six children, and even a record 6.5 kids per woman in the 1980s, a patriotic reaction to appeals by the country's religious leader, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, during the war with Iraq to breed a 20 million-strong army. It has an area of 636,372 square miles (1,648,195 square kilometers), however much of this land is uninhabitable, giving it a population density of 30 people per square mile (49.29 people per square kilometer). According to recent projections, Iran is expected to reach its peak population of 105.23 million at the end of 2061. Like the other Eurasian economies involved in China’s massive Belt and Road initiative (BRI), mostly imported Chinese labor will be utilized to build factories, designed and managed by large Chinese manufacturers, with identical specifications to those in China. The capital injection, which would focus on Iran’s oil and gas sector, would also be distributed across the country’s transportation and manufacturing infrastructure. Following its peak, the population is projected to slowly decline, falling to 98.83 million people by the end of the century. A year after the one-child policy was relaxed, there was a rise in births, though weaker than expected, with 1.3 million children born instead of the 3 million hoped for by China's family planners. India, too, has a huge number of young people. The largest ethnic groups are the Persians and Azerbaijanis. Iran, where birth rates decreased rapidly in the mid-20th century even without mandated limits, has also tested various family planning policies. Persians account for 61% of the population, followed by Kurds (10%), Lurs (6%), and Balochs (2%).

Regardless of how Saudi Arabia and the United States decide to proceed with retaliation for the Abqaiq-Khurais attacks, China may soon have a severe case of buyer’s remorse.

Iran, which is also called Persia or the Islamic Republic of Iran, is located in western Asia. Moreover, Iran has the fourth largest petroleum reserves and largest natural gas reserves. A portrait of late Iranian revolutionary founder Ayatollah Khomeini hangs on the wall.

The Obama brainchild intended to temporarily freeze the Iranian nuclear program, but ignored its regional power projection and growing missile arsenal. The largest city and capital is Tehran, which has a population of nearly 8.4 million. This comes at a time when Washington is exerting its so-called ‘maximum pressure’ strategy against Iran, which aims to change its international behavior by bringing oil exports down to zero. Under the agreement, Iran’s economy rebounded by over 12%  compared to when sanctions were in full force. China introduced its one-child policy after the Mao era because unlimited population growth was not compatible with Chairman Deng Xiaoping's plans to increase prosperity. Japan's current population of 128 million is expected to plummet to 112 million by 2045.

Iran's east is bordered by Pakistan and Afghanistan, and its south is bordered by the Gulf of Oman and the Persian Gulf. © 2020 Forbes Media LLC. I am also a Senior Fellow with the International Tax and Investment Center (ITIC) where I direct their Energy, Growth, and Security Program (EGS). China is pledging to invest upwards of $400 billion in Iran's petrochemical and manufacturing sectors following an August visit by Iran's Foreign Minister to Beijing.
My consultancy focuses on political risk, national security, and energy policy, especially in Russia/Europe/Eurasia, and the Middle East. Japan already has a relatively elderly population. From 1920 on it increased steadily, and the population rate reached 20 million by 1955. I cover energy, security, Europe, Russia/Eurasia & the Middle East. Iran’s fertility rate has been just over 2.1 births per woman consistently for the past few years, keeping the rate just above the population replacement rate of 2.1 births per woman. Societies overall are aging at a pace that birth rates cannot keep up with — a fact that will pose a major challenge to many a social security system in the future. Overall, this may not prove a financially sound endeavor by Beijing, as Chinese companies will come under U.S. sanctions – but it may end up as a shrewd geostrategic play by both parties. However, with the country again plagued by US sanctions, much would need to improve economically for Iran to benefit from this "demographic dividend.".

Japan even has plans for robots and artificial intelligence to take over nursing care tasks in the future. In my free time, I enjoy skiing, sailing, classical music, and my two cats. Two children became the norm thanks to a massive state family planning program. For example, HPV-16 in Zhejiang province, HPV-52 in Guiyang and Guangdong provinces, and HPV-6 in Xi'an province of China are predominant genotypes (14, 15). The latest Iranian census conducted in 2016 put Iran’s population at 79,926,270 with a male to female ratio of 1.027.

Following an August visit by Iran Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif to Beijing, the two countries agreed to update a 25-year program signed in 2016, to include an unprecedented $400 billion of investment in the Iranian economy – sanctions be damned. Most Christians have an Armenian origin. In addition to consulting for both the public and private sectors, I testify regularly before the U.S. Congress, and appear on Bloomberg, CNN, FOX, BBC, Al Jazeera, and other TV channels. Childless employees under the age of 40 could pay a percentage of their wages into a fund for newborn babies. If they were to have two children, they would be entitled to parental benefits; should they have just one child, they would be entitled to a refund of their contributions only after reaching the legal retirement age.
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